Stats for Newton Polygons

In the last few days I tried (unsuccessfully) to find some “new” supersingular surfaces by computation. Please read the previous post to see why one might want to find these surfaces. Anyway, one of the things that I have to show for this are some distributions of Newton Polygons (NPs) in the data. Here is an example:

13-15-19-184-p-11
3616 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
302 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0
46 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0
24 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
6 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2
5 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1

The sequence of numbers at the top mean the following: We are looking at computations of NPs on H^2_{prim} of randomly chosen quasi-smooth surfaces over F_11 defined by an equation in weighted projective space of the form

W^2 = F(X, Y, Z)

where X, Y, Z have weights 13, 15, 19, the polynomial F is homogeneous of degree 184, and W has degree 184/2 = 92. Summing up the integers in the first column we see that we did a run of 3999 experiments and we got NP counts as shown.

The table suggests that the primitive Hodge numbers of these surfaces are h^{0, 2} = 2, h^{1, 1} = 3, and h^{2, 0} = 2 as is indeed the case. All possible NPs occur in the table, except for 4/3,4/3,4/3,1,2/3,2/3,2/3. The table suggests that the NP 2,2,1,1,1,0,0 happens generically and 2,3/2,3/2,1,1/2,1/2,0 happens in codimension 1 because 11 * 302 is almost 3616. Next, we expect the NPs 2,1,1,1,1,1,0 and 5/3,5/3,5/3,1,1/3,1/3,1/3 to happen in codimension 2. In fact, the whole table is strangely consistent with the known theory of NP jumps, except that 1,1,1,1,1,1,1 occurs too often.

Why is this strange? Well, because the equations cutting out the NP strata typically have high degree (polynomial in p) and hence we cannot expect *any* good behaviour of point counts over F_p (only when we work over F_q for a high power of p can we expect such a thing). The same happens for other experiments (see below). For smaller primes the behaviour is less regular; I think this happens because of the limited sample space.

Please let me know if you have any kind of guess as to why this should be!

PS: How did I compute these tables? To get the Frobenius polynomials I used a program I wrote a long time ago. More precisely, to replicate the results above you have checkout the double branch which computes Frobenius matrices of double covers of weighted projective planes. In each case I ran this program on random inputs repeatedly. You can find the outputs produced in this github repository.

13-15-19-184-p-7
1679 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
254 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0
32 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0
26 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
8 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2
13-15-19-184-p-5
807 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
148 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0
25 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
10 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1
9 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0
13-15-19-184-p-3
484 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
202 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0
197 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0
74 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2
42 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1
19-23-31-422-p-11
6299 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0
574 2, 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0, 0
60 2, 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 1, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0, 0
51 2, 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3, 0
6 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
6 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 1, 1, 1, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4
2 2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 0
1 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
19-23-31-422-p-7
5763 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0
889 2, 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0, 0
126 2, 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 1, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0, 0
123 2, 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3, 0
35 2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 0
22 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
16 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0
7 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 1, 1, 1, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4
6 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2
4 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1
3 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
1 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 1, 1, 1, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0
19-23-31-422-p-5
770 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0
138 2, 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0, 0
36 2, 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3, 0
30 2, 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 1, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0, 0
8 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 1, 1, 1, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4
8 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
5 2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 0
3 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0
1 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 1, 1, 1, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0
19-23-31-422-p-3
431 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0
239 2, 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0, 0
131 2, 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 1, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0, 0
82 2, 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3, 0
47 2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 0
22 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 1, 1, 1, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4
11 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
2 8/5, 8/5, 8/5, 8/5, 8/5, 1, 2/5, 2/5, 2/5, 2/5, 2/5
8-13-29-216-p-5
3909 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0
667 2, 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0, 0
148 2, 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3, 0
121 2, 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 1, 1, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0, 0
62 2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 0
24 2, 2, 5/4, 5/4, 5/4, 5/4, 3/4, 3/4, 3/4, 3/4, 0, 0
24 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4
12 2, 3/2, 3/2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 1/2, 1/2, 0
8 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
6 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0
4 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0
2 7/6, 7/6, 7/6, 7/6, 7/6, 7/6, 5/6, 5/6, 5/6, 5/6, 5/6, 5/6
2 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
2 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0
2 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
2 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
2 2, 7/5, 7/5, 7/5, 7/5, 7/5, 3/5, 3/5, 3/5, 3/5, 3/5, 0
1 8/5, 8/5, 8/5, 8/5, 8/5, 1, 1, 2/5, 2/5, 2/5, 2/5, 2/5
1 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2
8-13-29-216-p-3
586 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0
189 2, 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0, 0
44 2, 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 1, 1, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0, 0
35 2, 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3, 0
34 2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 0
33 2, 2, 5/4, 5/4, 5/4, 5/4, 3/4, 3/4, 3/4, 3/4, 0, 0
18 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 7/4, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4, 1/4
13 2, 3/2, 3/2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 1/2, 1/2, 0
8 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2
7 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0
6 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0
4 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
2 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
2 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2
2 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1
9-13-14-126-p-7
819 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
145 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0
15 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0
12 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
3 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0
3 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1
2 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2
9-13-14-126-p-5
583 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
90 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0
24 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
20 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0
2 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0
1 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1
9-13-14-126-p-3
64 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
20 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0
6-5-11-66-p-3
560 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0
248 2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 0
52 2, 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 1, 1, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3, 0
49 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2, 1/2
44 5/3, 5/3, 5/3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1/3, 1/3, 1/3
22 2, 5/4, 5/4, 5/4, 5/4, 3/4, 3/4, 3/4, 3/4, 0
5 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1
4 4/3, 4/3, 4/3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2/3, 2/3, 2/3
3 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0
3-4-5-24-p-3
244 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0
88 3/2, 3/2, 1, 1, 1, 1/2, 1/2
30 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1

Shioda’s conjecture

At the Seattle workshop I mentioned in the previous post I was a mentor of a group of recent PhDs consisting of Jennifer Park, Daniel Litt, Runpu (Z)Hong, Dingxin Zhang, Sam Raskin, and Francois Greer. The topic was “supersingular surfaces in positive characteristics”. Any mistakes and/or misrepresentations in this post are mine.

Let us define a smooth projective variety over a field K of characteristic p > 0 to be supersingular if for each i the Newton slopes on the “motive” H^i(X) are all i/2. (This is just one possible choice of definition.) If the Tate conjecture is true for H^2, then for a supersingular variety over an algebraically closed field the rank of the Picard group is equal to the second betti number (!).

Motivation for the choice of topic was the recent successes (due to my colleague Maulik, as well as Liedtke, Lieblich, and Charles) on moduli of supersingular K3 surfaces. Basically, we know that supersingular K3 surfaces satisfy the Tate conjecture, are unirational, form a family of dimension 9, and that any degeneration of a supersingular K3 has potentially good reduction.

Now, let’s discuss some things one can say for other surfaces.

Degeneration of supersingular surfaces. Let K = k((t)) and let X be a supersingular surface over K. The method here, following Rudakov-Zink-Shafarevich (RZS), is to note that the formal Brauer group of any special fibre X_0 has vanishing p-divisible part (they only prove this under the assumption that H^1(X_0, O_{X_0}) = 0). This imposes a strong condition on the limits. For example, if X_0 is equal to the union of two smooth surfaces S_1, S_2 glued along transversally along a nonsingular curve C, then S_1 and S_2 are forced to have slopes 1 of the Newton polygon of H^2 and the map Pic^0(S_1) x Pic^0(S_2) —> Pic^0(C) has to be surjective.

One can make examples of this kind of degeneration, by considering a family of supersingular genus 2 curves specializing to a good curve consisting of two supersingular elliptic curves glued in a point and taking the product with another supersingular elliptic curve.

Looking at quintic surfaces in P^3, we found that applying the RZS criterion to GIT-stable limits does not always give enough information, and that it is better to consider stable limits of surfaces in the sense of birational geometry. In fact, it appears likely that supersingular quintics have potential good reduction at least for large enough primes (but this may be an empty statement — see below).

Degenerations of supersingular elliptic surfaces with a section. If (X, σ) is an elliptic surface over a curve C and if all fibres are semi-stable, then this determines a morphism C —> \bar M_{1, 1}. Hence we can use Abramovich-Vistoli(+Olsson) to take a limit in \bar M_g(\bar M_{1, 1}, degree) and see that our elliptic surface degenerates to an elliptic surface X_0 over a semi-stable limit C_0 of C, right? For example if g = g(C) = 0, then C_0 is a tree of curves and at first it looks like RZS implies that C_0 has to be irreducible: namely the glueing curves are elliptic and the component surfaces are elliptic with nonconstant j-invariant hence have trivial Pic^0. Well, this is not quite the case as in this game you have to allow the base curve to become stacky at the nodes. And then the analysis of RZS still works (we think), but now you are glueing along stacky curves whose Pic^0 may be zero (or finite).

In fact, looking at 1-parameter families of supersingular elliptic K3 surfaces (which we know exist) we proved this kind of behaviour must happen, i.e., the Abramovich-Vistoli limit must produce a reducible stacky limit curve C_0. This is not a contradiction with the previously mentioned good reduction of K3 surfaces, as what (probably) happens is that one of the irreducible components X_0 is a K3 and the others are (for example) rational elliptic surfaces. Slogan: there is a difference between limits of X as an abstract surface and limits of X as an elliptic surface.

Unirational surfaces are supersingular. Shioda gave an example of a supersingular surface with q = p_g = 0 which is not unirational. However, he also conjectured

Let X be a simply-connected surface (i. e. without connected etale covering of degree > 1) in char p > 0. Then X is unirational if and only if it is supersingular.

As far as I can tell this conjecture is still open (please let me know if this is no longer the case). To try and disprove this, we can try to find “new” examples of supersinguar surfaces. E.g., we can look for whole families of them as in the next paragraph. But, we can also look for “sporadic” surfaces (like Fermat surfaces for which the conjecture is known). In fact, I don’t know if for every p > 5 there is a supersingular quintic surface we could try the conjecture on (again, please let me know if there are examples). I also tried to find new ones by computation which I will report on in the next blog post.

In fact, I can point out some examples for which I don’t know if the conjecture holds. Let C and C’ be supersingular hyperelliptic curves in char p > 2 and let i, i’ denote the hyperelliptic involutions. Note: for p > 2 there exists a 1-parameter family of supersingular hyperelliptic curves for genus 2 and for genus 3 too (Oort). Then let X be the resolution of singularities of (C x C’)/<(i, i')>. It seems to me that \pi_1(X) = 0 and of course X is supersingular. But I don’t know how to prove that X is unirational, do you? Countably many cases of this are discussed by Shioda and others (eg when the curves C and C’ are related to Fermat curves); also if C and C’ are elliptic curves, then X is a Kummer surface and X was proved to be unirational by Shioda (a beautiful alternative non-computational proof of this was found by Katsura).

Moduli of supersingular surfaces. Suppose given a family of surfaces over a base B, for example the universal family of quintic surfaces in P^3. What one can try is look at the lower bound on the codimension of the supersingular stratum in B using the fact that Newton polygons jump in codimension 1 (if they do jump). We tried this on the first day and it turns out that for quintic surfaces in P^3 and for elliptic surfaces which are not K3 and not rational, the lower bound you get is higher than the dimension of B, i.e., it is useless. In fact, I would like to know

Are there infinitely many primes p such that there is a 1-parameter family of supersingular quintic surfaces?

In fact, I don’t know a 1-parameter family of supersingular quintic surfaces except for p = 5. Of course, we can ask the displayed question for surfaces of any given degree > 4 in P^3. Also, we can ask this for elliptic surfaces of given height > 2 (i.e., not rational or K3).

But, looking around the literature, families of supersingular surfaces seem to be hard to come by and the ones I’ve found are always families of unirational surfaces (so useless from the point of trying to address Shioda’s conjecture). Please let me know if you know of examples where unirationality (currently) isn’t known.

To finish the discussion let me mention two examples of families.

For surfaces in P^3 we can consider the Zariski surfaces

X : T_0^p = F(T_1, T_2, T_3)

where F is a general homogeneous form of degree p. Such a surface has a large number of A_{p – 1} singularities and the desingularization X is a unirational surface. If I understand well, then all the new algebraic cycles come from the resolution of the singularities.

Let q be a power of p. In Shioda’s paper one finds the family of surfaces

T_0^q T_2 + T_1^q T_3 + T_0 F(T_2, T_3) + T_1 G(T_2, T_3) = O

where F, G are degree q homogeneous without common factors. These are smooth and unirational and have 2q – 2 moduli.

Back from Seattle

Just got back from a workshop/conference organized by Max Lieblich. Thanks for all the comments you guys left on the Stacks project this week. I just finished dealing with these and I am ready for more.

One word about submitting slogans: let’s try to really think about using different language in the slogans. It doesn’t need to be entirely mathematically correct or be entirely equivalent to the actual statement. Maybe the idea is even to make the reader think a little bit about why the slogan is a slogan for the result in question. If while using the sloganerator you come across a lemma and the only slogan that comes to mind is very close to the actual statement, then you can just click on “get new tag” to see if the next one is “more fun” so to speak.

Also, we now have almost 150 contributors to the Stacks project. I need 4 more of you to leave an intelligent comment (for example) with your name. Thanks!