In recent years, as it has become clear that string theory can never be used to predict anything about the real world, string theorists have reacted to this state of affairs in various often bizarre ways. Tonight there’s a new review article by Steve Giddings about string theory which doesn’t even pretend that the theory will ever make a real prediction about anything. Giddings seems to think that the particle phenomenology archive hep-ph is the place to post this kind of thing, not the hep-th archive devoted to less experimentally based work. This is pretty funny, but the really hilarious thing is the way Giddings motivates string theory. In a section entitled “The problem of predictivity” he argues that our inability to make quantum gravity predictions at high energy is a problem of supreme importance, then goes on to use this to motivate the introduction of string theory, which in the end gives a theoretical framework unable to predict anything about anything at any energy.
The review does actually claim at various points that string theory “predicts” gauge theory, fermions, supersymmetry, Dp-branes, and the cosmological constant. It just neglects to mention that it doesn’t predict any characteristics of any of these things (value of the cosmological constant, any observable characteristic of a Dp-brane, how supersymmetry is broken, what kind of fermions, what gauge groups). String theory actually has nothing at all to say about even the things Giddings claims it “predicts”.
Giddings seems to be a hard core anthropist, he ends with the exciting recent insight from string theory that:
“It may in fact be that anthropic considerations fix the small relative size of the Higgs mass as compared to the Planck mass. If so this ultimately answers the question we started with, ‘why is gravity so weak?’ This is clearly a very interesting line of research, and debate continues on these and other important points.”
Actually this is only the next to last paragraph. He finally ends with the news that exp{10^120} years from now our region of the Universe will spontaneously decompactify, which he thinks is pretty kewl.
With the current anthropic nonsense exemplified by this review article, string theory has finally reached rock-bottom. It has given up any claims to being a legitimate science and has taken on the characteristics of a cult. It is long past time for those leaders of the field with any remaining scientific integrity to take a public stand that what is going on is not all right.
Perhaps this is too much ranting. My excuse would be that I’m not in the best of moods because I’ve spent my entire break between semesters being sick (don’t worry, I’m getting better). I just can’t believe the way essentially the entire particle theory establishment, including many people I have the highest respect for, continue to allow this situation to go on without public comment.
Update: Lubos Motl has news of a new, more elaborate set of anthropic nonsense coming soon from Savas Dimopoulos, Shamit Kachru, and his senior colleage Nima Arkani-Hamed (their innovation is to divide the landscape up into “countries”. I kid you not). Lubos evidently has seen this paper early, the rest of us will have to wait until tomorrow night. Even though he pretty clearly sees how unscientific this is, he has to try to find something nice to say about it since his career depends on these people. Sad to watch, actually. Postdocs and untenured people can’t take on the fight against this garbage unless they want to commit career suicide. It’s up to the tenured people. Where are they?
Further update: It seems the “countries” terminology is due to Lubos, the authors refer instead to breaking the landscape up into “friendly neighborhoods”. Which sounds even sillier than “countries”.
Yet further update: The Arkani-Hamed, Dimopoulos, Kachru paper is now available. It consists of about fifty pages of few equations and highly convoluted anthropic sorts of arguments, not about any particular theory but somehow about whole classes of theories. Kind of a meta-argument. They don’t seem to get anything at all like an actual prediction of anything out of this, the closest they get is in their conclusion about what to expect at LHC energies:
“Instead of finding a large spectrum of new particles and interactions typically needed for naturalness, we predict sparse models with few new particles and couplings, with dimensionful parameters finely tuned but close to dangerous environmental edges.”
Pretty poetic, but I think the experimentalists working on the LHC detectors are going to have trouble using that as guidance as to what to be looking for.